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| Title | Predicting Electricity Demands Using System Dynamics Approach in East Java Until The Year of 2010 (Case Study : PT. PLN (Persero) |
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| Author(s) | Dimas Prasetya Putranto |
| Subject(s) | Dynamic System OPERATION RESEARCH |
| Classification | 658.403 2 |
| Series Title | GMD | Tugas Akhir |
| Language | Indonesia |
| Publisher | Jurusan Teknik Industri FTI-ITS |
| Publishing Year | 2005 |
| Publishing Place | Surabaya |
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| Abstract/Notes | |
| Specific Detail Info | PT. PLN is an electricity companies that has two main parts, first handle the part as Electricity Network and second is Electricity Distribution. On handling Java, Madura, and Bali, PLN has divided those areas in several regions. One region that becomes the focus of this final project is East Java Region. This area have become one of fast growing population area and its average population growth about 0.87 % or almost 300,679 peoples per year and its average electricity load growth about 5.6 % or almost 134 MW per year (BPS Population Data and PLN Data for year 1995-2004). This huge amount growing people and electricity load will turn to be a serious problem to PLN. One of the ways PLN should consider to overcome this problem is by making good policies by viewing the entire current system as system dynamics. Researchers then try to forecasting all connected variables, this meant to know how far the causal relationship between existing variables. After that, we can know which variables that have greatest affect to system. Then we run it in Vensim software. Later on, some scenarios are being building based on the critical variables. Result of this study is amount of electricity demands for four type of customer that are residential, public, commercial and industrial. Moreover, the output can become a consideration of PLN future basic policies. Key Word: Electricity, Dynamic System, Forecasting, Causal Relationship, Vensim. |
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| File Attachment | LOADING LIST... |
| Pembimbing | Ir. Hari Supriyanto, MSIE;Yudha Andrian Saputra, ST |
| Volume | 1 |
| Availability | LOADING LIST... |
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